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Ahead of the Point Spread: Rife With Opinions

September 17, 2009 under College Football, Point Spread, Uncategorized

Have to say, our boy, Gil Lock, was Rife with some accurate opinions last week.  ryno rifeBowling Green led into the fourth quarter against Missouri before losing by seven; the final margin much closer to Lock’s line of 11 than the 19 you’d have had to lay in Vegas. Then, despite most of the world expecting a big USC victory, Ohio State was in command of their matchup until the final minute when USC found the end zone and escaped The Horseshoe with a narrow 18-15 win. A tough decision for the Buckeye faithful to handle but a pretty one for those like Lock that took the 6 1/2. The only blemish on the record was North Carolina, who registered a 12-10 win over UConn but failed to cover the 4 1/2 point margin.  Let’s see if Gil can grab that elusive three game sweep this week.

Toledo +20  1/2 over Ohio State- I’m letting my bias for the MAC Conference show, I know, but I’m really impressed by Toledo.  They crushed Colorado last week; mainly because their three receivers are lightning quick.  I don’t think the Buckeye corners are fast enough to shut them down and Big Ten teams historically struggle against the spread offense.  It’s also probable that Ohio State will suffer a bit of a letdown after last week’s heartbreaker vs. USC.  They’ll win, but not by three TD’s.

Baylor -10  1/2 over Connecticut- If it isn’t already obvious, I don’t think much of UConn.  They did little to change that opinion last week when they only managed what amounted to a defensive TD vs. North Carolina.  Baylor is a solid team flying under the radar in a conference loaded with Top 25 teams.  I’m counting on the fact that the line is off because no one knows them.  In another conference, Baylor QB Robert Griffin would be First Team.  Go with the Bears.

Army -7  1/2 over Ball State- Sometimes you just have to take a leap of faith.  I don’t know much about Ball State and even less about Army but I don’t think the Black Knights of the Hudson have been favored by that much over anyone since my Grandpa Rife wore his coonskin coat to West Point to see Doc Blanchard and Glenn Davis.

Season Record 3-3

Ahead of the Point Spread: Rife With Opinions

September 10, 2009 under College Football, Point Spread

It was a rough start for Gil Lock of Ryno Rife Sports Handicappers as his selections were a less than stellar 1-2.  He ryno-rife5won with Oklahoma State and looked good for awhile with Virginia Tech until Alabama decided to run it up in the fourth quarter.  The North Carolina State selection was the one with the most severe consequences, as it forced anyone with a financial stake to stay with the 7-3 yawner through its conclusion. With a week under his belt, Gil seems very confident that he’s approaching his regular season form. We’ll see for ourselves, as he’s got three more for us this Saturday.

Bowling Green + 17 ½ over Missouri–   Here’s one where I really feel the line is valued incorrectly.  In my mind, had this matchup occurred before Missouri had so easily dispatched Illinois, the line would have been 11 or 12.  I’m a big fan of the MAC and think Bowling Green can be competitive against a team that could suffer a letdown after a big season opener.  Take the points.

North Carolina – 4 ½ over UConn– UConn is really feeling the loss of RB Donald Brown.   I don’t think that Huskies’ QB, Zach Frazer, will have any success throwing the ball, as evidenced by his 11-24 performance vs. Ohio.   That’ll allow UNC to put seven and eight players in the box.  This is Butch Davis’ fourth year in Chapel Hill and the first with a team recruited entirely by his staff. I think they’ll be in the conversation for the ACC title, especially after what we saw Monday night from Florida State.  I like Carolina here.

Ohio State +6 ½ over USC– Don’t jump off the Buckeye bandwagon just yet.  At first glance, off of their respective openers, Ohio State doesn’t seem to have a chance.  But, I’m willing to believe they were looking ahead against a Navy team that’s better than a lot of people think, especially with soph John Dowd working his way into the O Line.  Everyone and his brother likes USC, which is usually reason enough for me to go the other way.  And how many times do you see a Top Ten team listed as a 6 1/2 point underdog at home, facing a true freshman QB?  I’ll take the Bucks, especially since they know, given how weak the Big Ten is, that a win here may sew up a BCS title matchup.

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